Prop bets allow you to bet on the specifics of everything from sports statistics in a given game to the number of times a politician will tweet each day. Our prop bets tackle everything from sports, politics, television, technology and more so that you can use your worldly knowledge to win big on specific propositions.
- The questions are mostly borrowed from various sportsbooks and gambling sites, and most are given roughly 50-50 odds, making them virtual coin flips. (The pregame coin toss is an actual coin flip.
- Super Bowl Squares. Audience: General. The most well known Super Bowl betting game — and one.
Super Bowl 54 is fast approaching, and that means we need to help you win some money on the prop bets that are popping up everywhere.
We combed through the props we’ve seen (all of them via BetMGM unless otherwise noted) and found the best ones to put your money on.
As a reminder: some of them might seem a little strange to you (“Wait, you’re telling us to bet on something that’s BARELY happened in Super Bowl history? Are you nuts?!”), but this is an exercise in finding value, which can be tough when betting on an event like this one.
Away we go:
1. Which player will score a touchdown in the game? (Patrick Mahomes +370)
I like the odds and I like what I saw out of Mahomes running a lot in his past three games (seven rushing attempts or more). You have to imagine he’s going to scramble a bunch against Nick Bosa and the 49ers pass rush, so I’ll put a few bucks on Mahomes entering the end zone at some point. — Charles Curtis
2. How many passing yards will Jimmy Garoppolo record? (Over 300.5 +330)
The game script that seems the most likely in my head is a close contest in which the Niners continuing to run the ball like crazy. But this is your hedge against Mahomes turning this into a shootout and forcing Jimmy G. to toss the rock more than eight times (!) like he did two weeks ago. This also isn’t THAT crazy — he went over 300 yards three times this year. — CC
3. Super Bowl MVP (Travis Kelce +1400)
Let’s get nuts! Do you know how many tight ends have won Super Bowl MVP? NONE! So why not go for the longshot who has the possibility of scoring three touchdowns (I know, if that happens, it’s Mahomes’ award, but what’s the fun in betting on a quarterback?) — CC
4. Super Bowl MVP (Raheem Mostert (+750)
Okay, fine. This is probably the more prudent bet. If he has another big game in him and the Niners’ D clamps down on the Chiefs, he could be in line for the award. And what a story that would be for the former undrafted free agent. — CC
5. Winning margin (49ers by 1-6 +325; Chiefs by 1-6 +310)
I think it’s going to be a tight game either way, so these feel like easy bets to throws some cash on. — CC
Super Bowl Prop Bet Questions
6. Will an offensive lineman score a touchdown? (DraftKings; Yes +3300)
The odds are SO GOOD and I can just see one of these creative offensive teams going for it. — CC
7. How many receiving yards will Deebo Samuel have? (Over 56.5 +100)
This is a no-brainer for me. Samuel has been more involved with the offense late in the season, and Kyle Shanahan finds ways to manufacture touches for him. He could hit this mark by halftime. — Steven Ruiz
8. How many receptions will Damien Williams record? (Over 3.5 +100)
Another easy pick for me. The 49ers’ defensive scheme is designed to give up throws underneath, so I expect Mahomes to throw at least a few checkdowns to his running back. Throw in a screen pass or two, and Williams should get more than three receptions. — SR
9. Will Jimmy Garoppolo throw an interception? (Yes -135)
Garoppolo threw 13 picks during the regular season and defenders dropped another eight. He puts the ball in dangerous spots a lot, and the Chiefs have capitalized on opposing quarterbacks’ mistakes this season. — SR
10. What will be the result of the 1st drive of the game? (Any outcome other than a TD, FG or Safety +105)
Super Bowls always seem to get off to cagey starts. I think that happens here, especially if the 49ers start out with the ball. One stuffed run and I think Kansas City’s defense gets off the field. Worst case scenario is Patrick Mahomes getting the ball first, but at least you have the league’s best defense to depend on. — SR
11. First scoring play (Chiefs TD +150)
Hedge the last bet with this one just in case Mahomes does hit the field first. Either way, I think this is a smart bet. — SR
In gambling, a 'proposition bet' (prop bet, prop, novelty, or a side bet) is a bet made regarding the occurrence or non-occurrence during a game (usually a gambling game) of an event not directly affecting the game's final outcome.
Proposition bets in sports are differentiated from the general bets for or against a particular team or regarding the total number of points scored. Traditionally, proposition bets can be made on outcomes such as the number of strikeouts a pitcher will accumulate in a baseball game, whether a non-offensive player will score in an American football game, which team will score the first points of the game,[1] the discipline record of teams in a match, the timing of certain events, the number of specific events per team or in the entire match, realistically any statistically discrete event contained in a match or game could be bet on.
Fixing part of a match for a certain result in a proposition bet is called spot-fixing.
Examples[edit]
There are a wide range of events or outcomes commonly bet on, including:
- Which specific sub-outcomes occur during a game in which multiple sub-outcomes normally have the same value, for example:
- The number of balls/strikes thrown by a baseball pitcher
- Which team scores first in a match
- The specific face value of one or more individual dice in craps
- Which cards will make up the flop in a hand of poker
- Which cards are dealt in blackjack: Over 35 different blackjack side bets are widely recognized in casinos. On some bets, such as the 'Lucky Ladies' side bet that wins only if the first two cards dealt to a player equal 20.[2] These bets are rarely favoured by experienced gamblers as the house edge on them typically exceeds the edge in a normal game. For example, the 'Super 7s' side bet in blackjack has a house edge of 12.6%,[3] while blackjack itself has a house edge of around 1% if the player follows basic strategy. There are side bets however that have very low house advantages such as 'The 18 Bet' at the Eureka Casino in Mesquite which is almost under 2%.
- Specific aspects of the pageantry surrounding a sporting event, such as a) the duration of the word 'brave' in the pregame performance of the U.S. national anthem or b) the colour of the Gatorade or other sports drink dumped on the winning team's coach in the traditional practical joke and victory ritual known as a Gatorade shower
Some jurisdictions do not allow casinos to offer any type of non-sport related proposition bets,[4] but these kinds of prop bets can often be found online.
Dare for money[edit]
Less commonly, 'proposition bet' (in this context also 'one-of-a-kind bet') denotes a dare for money. The bet is on whether the 'dared' person will make a given event happen. If the 'dared' person accepts the bet, he will collect if he succeeds or pay if he fails.
Football Prop Bet Questions
For an example detailed in the book The Professor, the Banker, and the Suicide King, David Grey once bet Howard Lederer, a professional poker player who became vegetarian following gastric bypass surgery, $10,000 that Lederer would not eat a cheeseburger. Lederer accepted the wager, ate the cheeseburger, and won the bet.
Spot fixing[edit]
Spot-fixing is an illegal activity where a person involved in the game takes steps to ensure a certain result for a proposition bet. Instead of fixing an entire match, or shaving points, spot fixing can be done with as little as one player, and can involve ensuring a certain outcome on only a single play, and may be completely unrelated to the points/results in a game.
Examples include Matt Le Tissier attempting to fix the time of a throw-in by kicking it out immediately after the game started,[5] or Ryan Tandy attempting to fix the first point scored method in a rugby league game, failing after the opposition decided against kicking a penalty goal and instead scored a try.[6] Multiple cricket players on teams at all levels of the sport have also attempted to fix events, such as the number of wides or no-balls in an over or the number of runs scored.
The fact that these minor events often contribute a minor or non-existent impact on the score or result of a game makes recruiting players for spot fixing an easier attraction than attempting to fix an entire match that may consist of dozens of players.
References[edit]
- ^'An Introduction to Proposition and Matched Betting'. SB Pal. Retrieved 10 November 2013.
- ^'Blackjack Side Bets'. WizardofOdds.com. Retrieved 20 August 2010.
- ^'Blackjack Side Bets - Super Sevens'. WizardofOdds.com. Retrieved 29 August 2013.
- ^'Super Bowl Prop Bets'. Bet the Super Bowl. Retrieved 24 April 2014.
- ^'Le Tissier in failed betting scam'. BBC Sport. 3 September 2009. Retrieved 2 June 2010.
- ^'Tandy guilty in NRL fixing scam'. ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation). Abc.net.au. 6 October 2011. Retrieved 28 April 2014.