Tennis is one of the best sports for live betting because the scores change quickly, the game is broken down into points, games, and sets, and factors like momentum are much more significant in single-player sports than in team sports.
Quick scoring changes give online bookmakers a lot of opportunities to create live bets. In tennis, of course the score changes with every serve, every game, and every set.
You can also wager on other stats during a game, such as ace totals, exact game score, and exact set score.
Be sure to check the weather during the game, usually the weaker players get the advantage in bad weather. If you are going to bet live on tennis, then carefully monitor the performance of players. If the pitch does not work, then the player’s chances of winning are significantly reduced. Dangerous nuances in betting. In Live Betting Tennis, it’s essential to keep watching Live Stream to feel the game progress. Several major bookmakers such as Bet365 & Betfair give you free live stream as below (you can watch it without placing a bet as long as you have balance fund in your account). The betting doesn’t end when the game starts. Bet live on football, basketball, baseball, tennis, MMA, golf – you name it.
From an entertainment perspective, even the most boring or lopsided matches can be a lot of fun. It’s not much fun to watch Novak Djokovic destroy some unknown, unranked player. However, when you put money on every serve or every game, there are a lot of reasons to get excited.
Most online bookmakers have minimum wager amounts of just £1 – £2 for live tennis betting. If you have £50 or £100 in your account and any idea of what you’re doing, your money can go a long ways. If you take it seriously and commit to the research, you can bet on this sport profitably.
Book | Features | Website | Review | Bet now |
---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | Read Review | Bet now | |
| Spin Palace | Read Review | Bet now | |
| 888sport | Read Review | Bet now |
Types of Live Bets
Every online bookmaker offers their own set of in-play bets for tennis. In order to get the prices, you should register and compare odds at several of the best sites.
Match Winner
Wagering on match winners is the same as choosing a winner before the match begins, except the odds change as the match plays out. As one player pulls out a lead, of course their odds become shorter.
Personally, I like to live bet on match winners when I favor a player who is losing in the first set. For example, if the first set looks like a fluke and I expect my player to come back and win, I can usually get much better odds on him now.
I never recommend risking your money when a male player is down 2 sets in a best-of-five set match. Even if the player who is down is considered a much better player, it’s rare that they will come back from 2 sets down. The problem is that punters like the high odds they can get, hoping the better player can come back. While the odds are good, they usually don’t give us enough value to make that bet.
When wagering on a 2-0 set leader, odds are usually too low to find value as well – especially when the leader was the favoured player to begin with. 1.01 or 1.02 odds requires a ton of risk to win very little – not a good strategy.
Exact Game Score
Many online bookmakers offer betting on the exact score of every game in a match. To win these bets, punters need to choose the winner of the game, and the exact score. For consistent wins, punters should wait until late in the first set or early in the second set to start placing these bets. This gives us a chance to see who is holding serve more easily, and who is struggling. If one player is consistently giving up 2-3 points on serve, then bettors can select to win at 30 or deuce. If they’re easily holding serve, punters should bet on love or 15.
Next Game to Deuce
The ‘next game to deuce’ wager is a simple yes/no bet on the next game reaching deuce at any point. Obviously the best time to bet ‘yes’ is when the serving player is likely to struggle against the returning player. To make consistent profits with these bets, find matches that consist of one weak server, and a solid return opponent. However, you don’t want to bet on these when the return player is likely to break at love, 15, or 30, so make sure it’s a close serve/return matchup.
Race to 2, 3, 4 or 5 Games
These are wagers based on which player will be the first to reach 2, 3, 4, or 5 game wins during a set.
At sites where these bets are offered, they can be made for every set of a match. For this reason, it’s a good idea to watch the first set to see how it’s playing out. Then, start on the second set. This should go without saying, but if you’re new to the sport, be sure to keep track of the serving order. This is always important, but especially critical when you expect both players to hold serve throughout the set.
My favorite way to bet on races is when the underdog is serving first in a set, but I expect them to get broken at least once (and the favourite to hold serve). Since the favoured player is serving 2nd, he will often have greater odds than the underdog – which is the key to this bet. This is because the underdog only needs to hold serve to win the entire string of races. So, the idea is to pick a player who will break early (without being broken himself), then pull off a string of race wins.
When this opportunity comes up, bet on each race before the first game is over. If your chosen player breaks in the first game, his odds will become much shorter for each race. The idea is to lock in the better odds before this happens.
For example, if you’re player is second to serve in the set, and breaks his opponent on one of their first two serves (without being broken himself), your player would be either 2-0 or 2-1 in the race to 2. Then if your player can keep from being broken, he’ll win the race to 3, 4, and 5 as well. It can be a nice payday when this happens.
Exact Set Score
Another common live bet for tennis is selecting the exact score of a set. In these bets, punters need to pick the winner of the set, and the exact score they will win by. Some online bookmakers offer these bets through the first several games of a set, but others stop them before the set begins.
Odds for these bets can be very attractive, but punters need to think through the likely scores based on breaks and who is serving first. Bets can also be placed on sets going to a tiebreak, but of course these should only be bet on for very close matchups. Also, it’s more likely a set will go to a tiebreak when both players have big serves that are hard to break. The ideal time to bet on the tiebreak is when both players have big serves, and neither have great returns.
Point Betting
This is great for punters who like constant action. Although it can be easy to pick consistent winners (like putting your money on big servers when they serve), but the odds usually don’t provide enough value. The best time to bet on points is when you’ve collected stats on how a player serves on each side of the court, and find a significant advantage on one side. For example, if player X has a 62% win-rate on the deuce court, and 56% on the ad court, smart punters can do the math and potentially find value.
To calculate the value, take the players recent serve %, then adjust it based on the opponents recent return game. If the opponent has a better than average return, use a number lower than 62% to assume your server will have less success. If the opponent is a below average returner, use the 62% number without adding to it. This provides some cushion in case our players serve isn’t as effective as usual.
To calculate the value, multiply the serve percentage to the odds. To have enough value to make the bet we need to see a 1.00 or better. Here’s how to calculate the math:
1.70 odds x .62 = 1.054 (value)
Game Betting
It’s just like points wagering, but once again it’s all about value. Of course we need to start by doing our stats research, then use those stats to come up with a realistic win percentage for each player. Then, do the math and see if either player is offering value or not. If you aren’t doing the math, you’re almost certain to lose in the long run.
Games in Current Set
These are bets where the bookmaker sets a number of total games to be played in a set, and the punters job is to select the over or under on that number. Most sites offer these in a variety of game totals, with differing odds.
Here’s an example:
- 7.5 Games: Over – 1.53 Under – 2.37
- 8.5 Games: Over – 2.50 Under – 1.50
- 9.5 Games: Over – 7.00 Under – 1.10
- 10.5 Games: Over – 11.00 Under – 1.05
- 12.5 Games: Over – 17.00 Under – 1.025
Total games can be tricky because they can convince a punter that they can find a lock. To play these correctly, remember that a bet is never a lock, and always calculate value.
Games in Match
As the title reads, these are live bets on the total number of games that will be played during a match. These can be good bets when a punter has done their research. Most bookmakers offer these as a standard over/under bet, where the vig is a reasonable 10%.
Over/Under on Aces
Some bookmakers also offer over/under (total) wagers on aces per set, or per match. Punters select the player they want to bet on, then decide if the number predicted by the book is too high or too low. If you think they’re predicting a number that is too low, you’d select the over. If you think the predicted number is too high, you’d select the under. Most sites offer these bets with a 10% vig, making them fair value for in-play wagering.
At sites who offer totals on aces per set, it’s a good idea to just watch the first set and look to bet on following sets only. Keep in mind that players with higher levels of fitness are more likely to keep their ace totals higher late in a match, while those with lower fitness levels tend to drop-off. Also, always check ace and return stats for each player before placing money on ace totals.
Also keep in mind the overall competitiveness of a match. If you wager on a best-of-five set match between two highly competitive players, the match is more likely to go four or five sets, providing a larger ace total than a match dominated in three sets.
Tips & Advice
A lot of casual punters consistently lose at live betting because they fail to put in the work. There are some very simple ways to research tennis, and the stats will often surprise you. For casual punters looking to have some fun, live wagering is a great way to accomplish that.
However, if you’re looking to win over the long term, read through our tips below:
Research the Stats
Player rankings don’t tell us all of the information we need. A #18 ranking doesn’t tell us how well a guy serves. Likewise, a #68 ranking doesn’t tell us how well a guy returns. Let’s create a scenario:
Player A is 31 years old, formerly ranked as high as #5 in the world, currently ranked #18, and had shoulder surgery on his serving arm 4 months ago. His shoulder is healed, but he’s lost 10 mph off of his first serve, and his 1st serve percentage is down 8% from last year. The time off from his surgery has also slowed him down, evident in that his points won on return of serve is down 6% from last year.
His opponent, player B is 20 years old, currently ranked #68, finished last year ranked out of the top 200, and on his way up. His return of serve win percentage is 5% higher than his opponent, and his first serve percentage is 2% higher. Do the rankings alone tell us any of this backstory? Of course they don’t, so we need to look at player bio’s and their latest stats to find where the value is.
In a situation like the one above, this could be a great opportunity for a punter to bet on player B, surely the dog because of his rankings.
Look for good matchups by comparing the stats of each player, and historical match records. It’s not uncommon to the see an underdog with a winning record against the higher ranked opponent. Fortunately for us, lower ranked opponents tend to have greater odds.
Watch the Match on TV
If you’re an avid tennis fan, you know how important momentum can be in a match. If you aren’t watching the match, only the live scores can be used to detect momentum – which doesn’t tell us the whole story of what’s happening. At the very least, watch the live streaming information the bookmaker provides. Most online bookmakers now offer detailed information as the match plays out, and we can gain information from that as well.
Don’t Chase Your Losses
Many casual punters think they can use a skewed version of the Martingale system for winning. The reason they think this way is because they’re often right. If you start with four or five losing bets of £2 each, recovering your losses with a £5 wager on 2.00 odds is pretty common. However, this way of thinking can also lead you to being broke.
The problem is, you only need to have one bad string of bets to ruin your bankroll. When a tennis player is having a dominating season and an equally dominating match (like Djokovic in 2011), it’s difficult to imagine him losing his serve against a no-name player.
But, to bet on him to win his next service game could cost you 1.08 or worse. Risking £25 to win £2 is risky, often resulting in a cat being kicked across the room. You started with £100 in your account, and find yourself down to £92. Does it sound smart to wager the remaining £92 to win £7.36? In the heat of the moment, it might. However, after you’ve lost your bankroll and step back for a couple of hours, you’ll be thinking “why in the world did I do that?”
To keep yourself from chasing your losses, instead of increasing your bet on the next wager, take a step back and ask yourself this question: “Do I understand what is happening in this match?”
If the match is going differently than you expected, and you can’t make sense of what’s going on – stop. If you feel confident in the direction a match is taking, and capable of making smart adjustments, then keep your wagers small while adjusting your strategy.
Use Twitter & Social Media
A lot of tennis players use Twitter or Facebook to keep in touch with their fans. Many of them will give us information that we cannot otherwise find – information that can be useful. For example, players will often tweet something like: “Good practice today. Massage & good dinner tonight, excited to play tomorrow.”
Roger Federer has even posted some of his workouts on Twitter:
Watch me practice #RFLivehttps://t.co/KroGaKUtJ8
— Roger Federer (@rogerfederer) 22. joulukuuta 2016
Most players won’t tweet about an injury or feeling sick, because it’s not information they want their opponent to know. However, when they say they’re feeling good, they usually are.
This can be especially useful information when a player is coming off of an injury or frustrating, recent defeat. In tennis, players are constantly battling injuries or mental setbacks. If you’re researching a match and thinking “well, it depends on how player X is feeling”, then this kind of information can be very helpful.
Mobile Devices
Live and mobile go hand-in-hand, and some online bookmakers have made huge strides in their mobile software. Bet365 and Paddy Power are two of those sites. They now offer lightweight, smooth running mobile software that works perfectly with the most common smartphones. The most popular devices for mobile are iPhone, iPad, Android, Blackberry, and Windows based phones.
Every online bookmaker realizes that mobile is no longer the future of sports gambling – it’s happening now. When the in-play feature is added to it, people can bet on anything they want, no matter where they are. So, as the largest area of growth in coming years, punters can expect more and more bookmakers to offer mobile wagering options. For now, check out Bet365 and PaddyPower – they’re clearly two of the best.
More about tennis betting:
Read About Betting on Other Sports
One of the most popular and interesting tennis betting markets is the tennis handicap betting and in the piece below, we explain what exactly does a tennis handicap mean and how can you make money using this market.
To kick-start this, it would make sense to inform the reader tennis handicap betting is the same as spread betting. Spread betting is a terminology that is more favoured in USA while handicap betting is a more European term.
There are over a dozen tennis markets to bet in the highly popular tennis betting markets but to be profitable there is a lot of risk one needs to take. Take an example of match betting, where you have to bet on the final result of the match which, for instance is between John Isner and Novak Djokovic.
Most of the people will favor Novak Djokovic, but odds are just 1.05 (1/20) on Novak Djokovic which has little value for punters to earn enough money while betting on John Isner is too risky. There is a solution to this problem and you still can bet on your favorite player with reasonably good betting odds. We are talking about tennis handicap betting, in which one isn’t betting on the tennis match result.
What is a Tennis Handicap or a Spread?
In tennis handicap betting, one player is provided a distinct advantage while the opponent player is provided a disadvantage or a handicap to balance their chances to win in the betting process.
As we are well aware, in a tennis match one player is favorite to win in most of the occasions. To mitigate this impression, handicap betting focused more on the performance of these two players rather than the final result of the match.
Games Handicap Betting (or Spread Betting)
An Example for This Type of Tennis Betting
Take the example of that same match above between Isner and Djokovic, most of the people will favor Djokovic and rightly so.
In a handicap market, let’s assume a bookmaker has provided a handicap of +3.5 games to John Isner. It means John Isner has a head start of 3.5 games. At the end of the best-of-three-set match, say the result of the match was 6-7, 6-5 and 4-6 in favor of Novak Djokovic, means he won 18 games against 16 pocketed by John Isner.
But when we count most games win after applying the +3.5 handicap on Isner, the result is in favor of Isner 16+3.5=19.5 as compared to Djokovic’s 18 games. Though the real match was won by Novak Djokovic, John Isner is the clear winner of your bet after applying the handicap.
Types of Handicap Betting
There are two types of handicap betting, the positive and negative handicap.
In a positive handicap, the weaker player is provided with the advantage of a few games or positive handicap e.g. +2.5, +3.5 games and so on.
When the final result comes out, this positive handicap is added to the weaker player’s final score and the result of the bet is according to handicap score.
In a negative handicap, the stronger player gets a disadvantage of few games, for example -2.5. This negative handicap is subtracted from the stronger player total games win at the end of the match and the result of the bet is according to this deduction.
In the example above, three possible results of handicap betting are given according to positive handicap.
Different Possible Results for this Betting
There are different possibilities on the result of a handicap betting.
Moving forward from the above-given example, Djokovic beats the Isner 6-3, 4-6 and 6-2. Djokovic wins 16 games while the John Isner wins 11 games.
When we apply handicap on the match, the result is 16 v 14.5 games in favor of Djokovic. First possible result, Djokovic wins the match and still the winner after applying handicap.
The second result of the match is like, Djokovic wins the match with 6-3, 2-6, 6-4 against the Isner. It means, Djokovic wins the match and pockets two sets and 14 games against one set and 13 games won by Isner. After applying the handicap, the score is in favor of John Isner, 16.5 v 14 games.
Second possible result of the handicap is John Isner has lost the match but declared as the winner of the bet when the handicap is applied.
The third possible result the match is John Isner win the match 7-6, 0-6, 7-6 and 2-1 sets. When we compare the result of the game, John Isner wins 14 games against the 18 games. Now after applying the handicap, Novak Djokovic is the winner of the bet with 18 games against the 17.5. As described earlier handicap betting is not concerned with the result of the match rather it is focused on the performance of two opponent players.
Likewise, the fourth scenario shown above is self-explanatory.
Set Handicap Betting (or Spread Betting)
This is not too dissimilar from the game handicap betting. Replace games with set and the more inferior-ranked players are given that positive handicap and the superior-ranked player afforded a negative one to allow punters to get better odds instead of rather one-sided ones.
This works way better during Grand Slams when men’s matches are played over best of five sets. However, you can also use tennis handicaps with best-of-three set matches as well, especially if you think the underdog is capable to clinching one set but won’t probably win the match.
Let’s take the Isner-Djokovic example again.
If you put your money on a Set Handicap at Isner +1.5, it means that you will win your bet if Isner wins one or two sets in the match. For you to lose your bet, Djokovic will have to complete a straight-set victory. All of a sudden, an overwhelmingly one-sided match in favour of Djokovic, allows the bettors to have a shot at winning at better odds.
Live Tennis On Tv Today
In-Play Handicap Betting in Tennis
How To Bet Table Tennis
What’s interesting to note is that some bookmakers also offer in-play tennis handicap betting. This goes by the name of Current Set Handicap.
Tennis bettors can extend the games handicap in a match to a set, which means they can bet on the number of games won in the current set but with the application of a handicap. In the Djokovic-Isner example above, suppose the second set handicap is for Djokovic to win with a -2.5 handicap, it implies if the Serb will win by three or more games, the punter wins the bet.
How To Bet On Tennis Live
So in conclusion, tennis handicap betting is one of the markets you could try out but as with others, do your research before you do that.